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Karlstad vs Karlbergs

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlstad host Karlbergs in the Division 1 - Norra. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Karlstad have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Karlbergs's 1.53 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Karlstad have won 4 to Karlbergs's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.25, favoring Karlstad. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Karlstad
35%
Draws
37%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Karlbergs haven't matched Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Karlstad a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Karlstad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 19%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Karlbergs
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Karlstad
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Karlbergs
1:0
May 4, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Karlstad
2:3
Nov 9, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs Karlstad
2:4
May 8, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Karlbergs
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 85 / 100
Karlbergs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlstad found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Karlbergs let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Karlstad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Karlbergs
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

Karlbergs

(Away)
20 Sept
Karlbergs
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Karlbergs
1 : 0
FC Arlanda
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)