Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Alvers O.
19'
Alfonsi D.
34' Event
Alvers O.

AI Match Summary

Karlstad in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karlstad
6%
Draws
4%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlstad lately — more wins on the board than Pitea.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Karlstad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Karlstad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Pitea
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Pitea
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Karlstad
0:6
Jul 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Pitea
6:0
Sep 3, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Pitea
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Karlstad
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvers O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 85 / 100
Pitea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Karlstad scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Karlstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Pitea
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368