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Stadium Background

Karlstad vs Umea FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Sola Arena, Karlstad
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlstad host Umea FC in the Division 1 - Norra. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Karlstad at 1.57 goals for, 1.17 against; Umea FC at 1.47 for, 1.47 against. Past meetings favor Karlstad slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.69) back Umea FC to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Karlstad
20%
Draws
61%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Karlstad haven't matched Umea FC's recent run of results.
  • Umea FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 13%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Umea FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Karlstad
0:2
Aug 19, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Karlstad vs Umea FC
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Umea FC
3:4
Apr 14, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Karlstad
5:2
Sep 16, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs Umea FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 11 / 100
Umea FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Karlstad's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karlstad has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Umea FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
01 Nov
Vasalund
2 : 1
Karlstad
24 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
18 Oct
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
Karlstad
10 Oct
Karlstad
3 : 0
FC Arlanda
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
Page 1 of 6

Umea FC

(Away)
01 Nov
Umea FC
3 : 0
Sollentuna
25 Oct
Karlbergs
1 : 1
Umea FC
18 Oct
Umea FC
3 : 1
Assyriska FF
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 29 20 4 5 69:25 64
2 FC Arlanda 29 16 6 7 53:36 54
3 AFC Eskilstuna 29 16 5 8 55:40 53
4 Enkopings SK 29 16 4 9 46:43 52
5 Hammarby TFF 29 14 7 8 55:31 49
6 FBK Karlstad 29 14 7 8 46:39 49
7 Karlstad 29 12 8 9 43:33 44
8 Umea FC 29 12 6 11 43:44 42
9 Gefle 29 11 5 13 36:47 38
10 Karlbergs 29 10 7 12 40:48 37
11 Assyriska FF 29 10 5 14 46:53 35
12 Sollentuna 29 7 10 12 30:40 31
13 Vasalund 29 8 7 14 41:62 31
14 Pitea 29 6 9 14 39:56 27
15 FC Jarfalla 29 6 6 17 40:61 24
16 IFK Stocksund 29 3 6 20 49:73 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)