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Karmiotissa vs AEL Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karmiotissa host AEL Limassol in the Cyprus League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Karmiotissa at 1.59 goals for, 1.37 against; AEL Limassol at 1.46 for, 1.46 against. Past meetings favor AEL Limassol slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.81) point toward Karmiotissa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Karmiotissa
20%
Draws
69%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • AEL Limassol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AEL Limassol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 11%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa AEL Limassol
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Karmiotissa
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs AEL Limassol
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Karmiotissa
4:0
May 10, 2024 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Karmiotissa
4:3
Apr 3, 2024 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs AEL Limassol
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 10 / 100
AEL Limassol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa AEL Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Limassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karmiotissa's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

AEL Limassol let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Karmiotissa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS AEL Limassol
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
25 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 5
Apollon Limassol
17 Oct
Krasava
2 : 1
Karmiotissa
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
Page 1 of 6

AEL Limassol

(Away)
25 Oct
AEL Limassol
1 : 3
Aris Limassol
18 Oct
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Oct
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Omonia 29th May
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 7 5 1 1 13:5 16
2 Apollon Limassol 7 4 3 0 19:8 15
3 AEL Limassol 7 5 0 2 11:11 15
4 Omonia 7 3 3 1 13:6 12
5 Pafos 7 3 3 1 7:3 12
6 Aris Limassol 7 3 3 1 10:9 12
7 APOEL 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
8 Omonia 29th May 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
9 Anorthosis 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 7 0 6 1 11:12 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 7 1 3 3 4:8 6
12 Nea Salamis 7 1 2 4 11:15 5
13 Krasava 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
14 Karmiotissa 7 0 3 4 4:16 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)