Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karmiotissa vs ASIL Lysi

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2025/2026 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Bastianos G.
48' Event
Kyprou T.
55' Event
Kyprou T.

AI Match Summary

Karmiotissa in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karmiotissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Karmiotissa
35%
Draws
41%
ASIL Lysi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASIL Lysi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karmiotissa lately — more wins on the board than ASIL Lysi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Karmiotissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 16%
ASIL Lysi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa ASIL Lysi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa
2:6
Feb 13, 2026 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs ASIL Lysi
5:0
Oct 29, 2025 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa
1:0
Feb 19, 2022 Division 2
ASIL Lysi vs Karmiotissa
0:1
Oct 23, 2021 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs ASIL Lysi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karmiotissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyprou T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bastianos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

ASIL Lysi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 31 / 100
ASIL Lysi 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa ASIL Lysi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: ASIL Lysi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Karmiotissa scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Karmiotissa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS ASIL Lysi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
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ASIL Lysi

(Away)
19 Sept
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 1
ASIL Lysi
12 Sept
Ayia Napa
1 : 3
ASIL Lysi
25 Apr
Nea Salamis
4 : 1
ASIL Lysi
17 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 1
M.E.A.P. Nisou
04 Apr
ASIL Lysi
2 : 6
Karmiotissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nea Salamis 14 11 2 1 29:10 76
2 Karmiotissa 14 8 5 1 29:11 53
3 Omonia 29th May 14 7 6 1 30:18 53
4 PAEEK 14 4 5 5 19:23 46
5 Doxa 14 4 3 7 13:23 42
6 Ayia Napa 14 4 3 7 22:28 41
7 ASIL Lysi 14 2 2 10 18:37 31
8 M.E.A.P. Nisou 14 2 2 10 13:23 29
Promotion - Cyprus League (Main)