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Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2025/2026 Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Guedes L.
34' Event
Bastianos G.
50' Event
Konstantinidis M.

AI Match Summary

Karmiotissa in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karmiotissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Karmiotissa
35%
Draws
41%
Ayia Napa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ayia Napa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Karmiotissa have won more games recently than Ayia Napa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 11%
Ayia Napa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa Ayia Napa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Karmiotissa
0:2
Nov 29, 2025 Division 2
Ayia Napa vs Karmiotissa
0:0
Oct 23, 2024 Cyprus Cup
Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa
2:3
Mar 12, 2022 Division 2
Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karmiotissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Guedes L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bastianos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Ayia Napa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 30 / 100
Ayia Napa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa Ayia Napa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayia Napa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karmiotissa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Ayia Napa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Karmiotissa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS Ayia Napa
2.13 Goals Scored 2.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.57
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
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Ayia Napa

(Away)
18 Sept
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1 : 1
Ayia Napa
12 Sept
Ayia Napa
1 : 3
ASIL Lysi
25 Apr
Doxa
0 : 3
Ayia Napa
19 Apr
Ayia Napa
6 : 3
PAEEK
04 Apr
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Ayia Napa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nea Salamis 14 11 2 1 29:10 76
2 Karmiotissa 14 8 5 1 29:11 53
3 Omonia 29th May 14 7 6 1 30:18 53
4 PAEEK 14 4 5 5 19:23 46
5 Doxa 14 4 3 7 13:23 42
6 Ayia Napa 14 4 3 7 22:28 41
7 ASIL Lysi 14 2 2 10 18:37 31
8 M.E.A.P. Nisou 14 2 2 10 13:23 29
Promotion - Cyprus League (Main)