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Karmiotissa vs Ol. Nicosia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karmiotissa host Ol. Nicosia in the Cyprus League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ol. Nicosia have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Karmiotissa have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.64. Head-to-head, Karmiotissa have won 2 to Ol. Nicosia's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2023, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.94, favoring Karmiotissa. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Karmiotissa
35%
Draws
37%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ol. Nicosia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ol. Nicosia haven't matched Karmiotissa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 10%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 Cyprus Cup
Ol. Nicosia vs Karmiotissa
4:1
May 8, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Karmiotissa
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Ol. Nicosia
0:2
Jan 9, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Karmiotissa
0:0
Oct 3, 2022 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Ol. Nicosia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 34 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ol. Nicosia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karmiotissa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ol. Nicosia conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Karmiotissa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS Ol. Nicosia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
17 Oct
Krasava
2 : 1
Karmiotissa
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
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Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
19 Oct
Omonia
2 : 2
Ol. Nicosia
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEL Limassol 6 5 0 1 10:8 15
2 AEK Larnaca 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Omonia 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Apollon Limassol 6 3 3 0 14:8 12
5 Pafos 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
6 Aris Limassol 6 2 3 1 7:8 9
7 APOEL 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
8 Omonia 29th May 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
9 Omonia Aradippou 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
10 Ol. Nicosia 6 0 5 1 10:11 5
11 Nea Salamis 6 1 1 4 11:15 4
12 Krasava 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
13 Anorthosis 6 1 0 5 4:13 3
14 Karmiotissa 6 0 3 3 4:11 3
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)