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Karmiotissa vs Pafos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
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Match Events

45' Event
Quina D.
48' Event
Moumi Ngamaleu N.
53'
Sub
Reynolds D. A. In: Savvidis I.
Out: Reynolds D. A.

AI Match Summary

Pafos in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pafos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Karmiotissa
35%
Draws
50%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Karmiotissa at 1.59 per game, Pafos at 1.54.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pafos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 13%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa Pafos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Pafos
0:3
Jan 26, 2025 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Pafos
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Karmiotissa
4:0
Dec 10, 2023 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Pafos
2:1
Aug 18, 2023 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Karmiotissa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karmiotissa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Quina D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moumi Ngamaleu N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 19 / 100
Pafos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karmiotissa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Pafos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Karmiotissa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS Pafos
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
09 Oct
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Omonia
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
04 Sept
Omonia 29th May
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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Pafos

(Away)
11 Oct
Anorthosis
1 : 3
Pafos
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
2 AEL Limassol 5 4 0 1 8:8 12
3 Omonia 5 3 2 0 11:2 11
4 Pafos 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Apollon Limassol 5 2 3 0 10:6 9
6 Aris Limassol 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
7 APOEL 5 2 1 2 12:8 7
8 Omonia Aradippou 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
9 Omonia 29th May 5 1 2 2 10:9 5
10 Ol. Nicosia 5 0 4 1 8:9 4
11 Nea Salamis 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
12 Karmiotissa 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
13 Anorthosis 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
14 Krasava 5 0 0 5 3:13 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)