Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karmiotissa vs Pafos

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karmiotissa host Pafos in the Cyprus League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pafos have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Karmiotissa have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Pafos slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.69) back Karmiotissa to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karmiotissa
35%
Draws
25%
Pafos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karmiotissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karmiotissa lately — more wins on the board than Pafos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pafos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Karmiotissa Clean Sheet 13%
Pafos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karmiotissa Pafos
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Pafos
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Karmiotissa
4:0
Dec 10, 2023 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Pafos
2:1
Aug 18, 2023 Cyprus League
Pafos vs Karmiotissa
3:0
Dec 19, 2022 Cyprus League
Karmiotissa vs Pafos
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karmiotissa 31 / 100
Pafos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karmiotissa Pafos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karmiotissa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pafos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Karmiotissa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karmiotissa VS Pafos
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karmiotissa

(Home)
22 Aug
Anorthosis
2 : 2
Karmiotissa
07 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Karmiotissa
25 Jul
Omonia Aradippou
3 : 4
Karmiotissa
24 Apr
PAEEK
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
19 Apr
Karmiotissa
1 : 0
Nea Salamis
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Pafos

(Away)
20 Aug
Dinamo City
1 : 1
Pafos
13 Aug
Pafos
3 : 3
Salzburg
06 Aug
Salzburg
1 : 0
Pafos
30 Jul
Pafos
4 : 0
Hajduk Split
23 Jul
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Pafos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 AEL Limassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Anorthosis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 APOEL 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Apollon Limassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Aris Limassol 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Omonia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Nea Salamis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Ol. Nicosia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Pafos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Omonia Aradippou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Karmiotissa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Krasava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Omonia 29th May 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)