Sport Picks
Karnobat vs Dimitrovgrad
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Karnobat host Dimitrovgrad in the Third League - South-East 2024/2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Karnobat at 0.23 goals for, 3.23 against; Dimitrovgrad at 1.42 for, 2.06 against. Head-to-head, Karnobat have won 1 to Dimitrovgrad's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 1.18) point toward Dimitrovgrad. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dimitrovgrad carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Dimitrovgrad taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Dimitrovgrad have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karnobat | Dimitrovgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 28 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.23 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.23 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dimitrovgrad conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Dimitrovgrad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Karnobat scored in 20% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Karnobat
(Home)Dimitrovgrad
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets 1919 | 38 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 131:18 | 106 |
| 2 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 105:29 | 90 |
| 3 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 66:37 | 79 |
| 4 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 70:37 | 78 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 60:37 | 66 |
| 6 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 54:40 | 64 |
| 7 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 53:39 | 61 |
| 8 | Maritsa Milevo | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 47:47 | 59 |
| 9 | FK Svilengrad 2022 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 73:77 | 50 |
| 10 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 58:60 | 49 |
| 11 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 42:63 | 48 |
| 12 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 48:67 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 50:59 | 42 |
| 15 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:49 | 42 |
| 16 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 53:69 | 40 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 44:71 | 40 |
| 18 | Asenovets | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 38:95 | 37 |
| 19 | Botev Plovdiv III | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 45:67 | 28 |
| 20 | Karnobat | 38 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 13:128 | 4 |
