Sport Picks
Karnobat vs Lok. Plovdiv II
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Karnobat host Lok. Plovdiv II in the Third League - South-East 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Karnobat have averaged 0.23 scored and 3.23 conceded recently, against Lok. Plovdiv II's 1.24 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Lok. Plovdiv II slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.24) point toward Lok. Plovdiv II. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Lok. Plovdiv II come out ahead of Karnobat on wins alone.
- Model gives Lok. Plovdiv II a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lok. Plovdiv II have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karnobat | Lok. Plovdiv II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 28 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.23 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.23 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lok. Plovdiv II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Away concern: Lok. Plovdiv II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Karnobat found the back of the net in 20% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Karnobat
(Home)Lok. Plovdiv II
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets 1919 | 38 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 131:18 | 106 |
| 2 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 105:29 | 90 |
| 3 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 66:37 | 79 |
| 4 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 70:37 | 78 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 60:37 | 66 |
| 6 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 54:40 | 64 |
| 7 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 53:39 | 61 |
| 8 | Maritsa Milevo | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 47:47 | 59 |
| 9 | FK Svilengrad 2022 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 73:77 | 50 |
| 10 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 15 | 4 | 19 | 58:60 | 49 |
| 11 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 42:63 | 48 |
| 12 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 48:67 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 50:59 | 42 |
| 15 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:49 | 42 |
| 16 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 53:69 | 40 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 44:71 | 40 |
| 18 | Asenovets | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 38:95 | 37 |
| 19 | Botev Plovdiv III | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 45:67 | 28 |
| 20 | Karnobat | 38 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 13:128 | 4 |
