Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karnobat vs Lyubimets 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Karnobat Logo

Karnobat

2 - 1
FT
Lyubimets 2007 Logo

Lyubimets 2007

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Karnobat and Lyubimets 2007 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karnobat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Karnobat
15%
Draws
85%
Lyubimets 2007
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyubimets 2007

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lyubimets 2007 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%
Lyubimets 2007 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karnobat Lyubimets 2007
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 32 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.85 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2017 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Lyubimets 2007
2:1
Sep 10, 2016 Third League - South-East
Lyubimets 2007 vs Karnobat
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karnobat 30 / 100
Lyubimets 2007 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karnobat Lyubimets 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyubimets 2007 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyubimets 2007 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Lyubimets 2007 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Karnobat scored in 34% of their last 41 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karnobat VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karnobat

(Home)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 9

Lyubimets 2007

(Away)
27 May
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
20 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 7
Zagorets
13 May
Vereya 2
4 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
10 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 0
Borislav Parvomay
06 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)