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Karnobat vs Maritsa Milevo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2024/2025 game between Karnobat and Maritsa Milevo finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Karnobat
15%
Draws
85%
Maritsa Milevo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Maritsa Milevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Milevo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karnobat Maritsa Milevo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 17
Draws 1 5
Losses 28 8
Goals Scored 0.23 1.8
Goals Conceded 3.23 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Karnobat
3:0
Nov 30, 2024 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Maritsa Milevo
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karnobat 10 / 100
Maritsa Milevo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karnobat Maritsa Milevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Karnobat scored in 20% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Maritsa Milevo conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Maritsa Milevo registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maritsa Milevo
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karnobat

(Home)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
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Maritsa Milevo

(Away)
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Maritsa Milevo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets 1919 38 35 1 2 131:18 106
2 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 3 6 105:29 90
3 Yambol 1915 38 24 7 7 66:37 79
4 Maritsa Plovdiv 38 24 6 8 70:37 78
5 Zagorets 38 20 6 12 60:37 66
6 Rozova Dolina 38 18 10 10 54:40 64
7 Gigant Saedinenie 38 18 7 13 53:39 61
8 Maritsa Milevo 38 16 11 11 47:47 59
9 FK Svilengrad 2022 38 15 5 18 73:77 50
10 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 15 4 19 58:60 49
11 OFC Haskovo 38 14 6 18 42:63 48
12 Atletik Kuklen 38 13 8 17 48:67 47
13 Sozopol 38 13 7 18 45:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 9 18 50:59 42
15 Dimitrovgrad 38 11 9 18 47:49 42
16 Rodopa Smolyan 38 11 7 20 53:69 40
17 Levski Karlovo 38 11 7 20 44:71 40
18 Asenovets 38 10 7 21 38:95 37
19 Botev Plovdiv III 38 7 7 24 45:67 28
20 Karnobat 38 1 1 36 13:128 4
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