Sport Picks
Karonga United vs Bangwe All Stars Prediction & H2H Stats
Malawi
Super League 2024 
Match Events
55'
55'
Moyo S.
81'
81'
Kayombo E.
AI Match Summary
Karonga United in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karonga United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karonga United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Karonga United have won more games recently than Bangwe All Stars.
- Win probability leans Karonga United's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Super League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 20%
Bangwe All Stars Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karonga United | Bangwe All Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 1, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Bangwe All Stars
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Karonga United
1:1
Dec 3, 2023 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Karonga United
3:0
May 7, 2023 Super League
Karonga United vs Bangwe All Stars
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karonga United Compare
Top Goalscorer Moyo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kayombo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Bangwe All Stars Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karonga United 85 / 100
Bangwe All Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karonga United Bangwe All Stars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Karonga United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Karonga United scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Bangwe All Stars has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Karonga United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Karonga United VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Karonga United
(Home) 06 Sept
Ekhaya
0 : 0 Karonga United
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1 Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 7
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1 Chitipa United
16 Aug
Karonga United
0 : 1 Big Bullets
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3 Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0 Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 4
Bangwe All Stars
(Away) 11 Dec
Mighty Wanderers FC
5 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
07 Dec
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 4 Creck Sporting
01 Dec
Karonga United
2 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
20 Nov
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
16 Nov
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 0 Civo Utd
Page 1 of 6
11 Dec
Mighty Wanderers FC
5 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
01 Dec
Karonga United
2 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
20 Nov
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
31 Oct
MAFCO
0 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
20 Oct
Mighty Tigers
1 : 0 Bangwe All Stars
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 58:17 | 67 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57:19 | 58 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 42:20 | 55 |
| 4 | Mzuzu City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 5 | Civo Utd | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:27 | 43 |
| 6 | Creck Sporting | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Karonga United | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:30 | 42 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 30:27 | 39 |
| 9 | MAFCO | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 30:39 | 39 |
| 10 | Kamuzu Barracks | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 30:29 | 37 |
| 11 | Dedza Dynamos | 30 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 32:31 | 36 |
| 12 | Mighty Tigers | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 35:46 | 29 |
| 14 | FOMO FC | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 20:38 | 29 |
| 15 | Bangwe All Stars | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 17:34 | 27 |
| 16 | Baka City | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 17:74 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
