Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karonga United vs Civo Utd

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Chizinga A.
50' Event
Banda R.
79' Event
Banda R.

AI Match Summary

Civo Utd in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Civo Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karonga United
33%
Draws
27%
Civo Utd
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karonga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Civo Utd have won more games recently than Karonga United.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Karonga United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 68%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karonga United Civo Utd
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
Civo Utd vs Karonga United
0:1
Dec 24, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs Civo Utd
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Karonga United
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs Karonga United
3:0
May 19, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs Civo Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karonga United Compare

Top Goalscorer Chizinga A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Civo Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karonga United 50 / 100
Civo Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karonga United Civo Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Karonga United scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Civo Utd's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Civo Utd let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karonga United VS Civo Utd
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karonga United

(Home)
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1
Karonga United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0
Moyale Barracks
21 Jun
Blue Eagles
3 : 2
Karonga United
Page 1 of 7

Civo Utd

(Away)
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
18 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 2
Mighty Wanderers FC
05 Jul
Red Lions
1 : 0
Civo Utd
28 Jun
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Civo Utd
20 Jun
Civo Utd
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)