Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Mwakabaghe K.
83'
83'
Alli A.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Karonga United and MAFCO finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karonga United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Karonga United come out ahead of MAFCO on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Karonga United Clean Sheet 68%
MAFCO Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karonga United | MAFCO |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Super League
Karonga United vs MAFCO
1:1
Oct 15, 2025 Super League
MAFCO vs Karonga United
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 Super League
Karonga United vs MAFCO
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Super League
Karonga United vs MAFCO
3:1
Jul 17, 2024 Super League
MAFCO vs Karonga United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Karonga United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwakabaghe K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
MAFCO Compare
Top Goalscorer Alli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karonga United 41 / 100
MAFCO 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karonga United MAFCO
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karonga United's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: MAFCO conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: MAFCO registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Karonga United VS MAFCO
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karonga United
(Home) 09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1 Karonga United
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
19 Jul
Silver Strikers
4 : 1 Karonga United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3 Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0 Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1 Creck Sporting
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3 Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Karonga United
0 : 0 Moyale Barracks
31 May
Karonga United
1 : 0 Red Lions
17 May
Karonga United
1 : 1 MAFCO
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MAFCO
(Away) 08 Aug
MAFCO
0 : 1 Blue Eagles
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1 MAFCO
18 Jul
MAFCO
2 : 0 Red Lions
05 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
3 : 0 MAFCO
28 Jun
Ekhaya
1 : 0 MAFCO
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26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1 MAFCO
05 Jul
Mighty Wanderers FC
3 : 0 MAFCO
28 Jun
Ekhaya
1 : 0 MAFCO
30 May
Silver Strikers
1 : 0 MAFCO
17 May
Karonga United
1 : 1 MAFCO
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Blue Eagles | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers FC | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:8 | 23 |
| 4 | Big Bullets | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 14:7 | 23 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Mitundu Baptist | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Ekhaya | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | 16 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Karonga United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 12 |
| 13 | Dedza Dynamos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Civo Utd | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Creck Sporting | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
