Sport Picks
Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandriya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup Ukraina Stadium, Lviv 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Ukrainian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Karpaty Lviv have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Oleksandriya's 1.39 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Karpaty Lviv have won 3 to Oleksandriya's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Karpaty Lviv. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karpaty Lviv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Karpaty Lviv have won more games recently than Oleksandriya.
- Model gives Karpaty Lviv a 42% chance of winning this.
- Karpaty Lviv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Karpaty Lviv, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Karpaty Lviv have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 20%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karpaty Lviv | Oleksandriya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandriya
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Karpaty Lviv
0:2
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandriya
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Oleksandriya vs Karpaty Lviv
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karpaty Lviv 42 / 100
Oleksandriya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karpaty Lviv Oleksandriya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Karpaty Lviv's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Oleksandriya has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Karpaty Lviv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Karpaty Lviv VS Oleksandriya
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Karpaty Lviv
(Home) 18 Oct
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 2 Epitsentr
11 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 Karpaty Lviv
03 Oct
KV Mechelen
2 : 3 Karpaty Lviv
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1 Veres Rivne
16 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 3 Karpaty Lviv
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18 Oct
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 2 Epitsentr
20 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 1 Veres Rivne
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2 Shakhtar
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0 Obolon
15 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
3 : 0 Bukovyna
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Oleksandriya
(Away) 18 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 1 Oleksandriya
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3 Lokomotyv Kyiv
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2 Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 Oleksandriya
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18 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 1 Oleksandriya
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2 Oleksandriya
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0 Oleksandriya
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2 Oleksandriya
05 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0 Oleksandriya
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
