Sport Picks

Ukraine

Premier League 2025/2026 Ukraina Stadium

Karpaty Lviv

1 - 2

Zorya

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Kushnirenko B.

30'

Bruninho

Assist: Kostenko Y.

37'

da Silva J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zorya in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zorya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Karpaty Lviv

22%

Draws

18%

Zorya

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Karpaty Lviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Zorya at 1.38 per game, Karpaty Lviv at 1.13.
60% — that's where the model lands on Karpaty Lviv taking it.
Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Zorya have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Karpaty Lviv Clean Sheet 20%

Zorya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karpaty Lviv	Zorya
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	7	10
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League

Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Dec 5, 2025 Premier League

Zorya vs Karpaty Lviv

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

May 25, 2025 Premier League

Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

Dec 2, 2024 Premier League

Zorya vs Karpaty Lviv

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Apr 25, 2006 Persha Liga

Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karpaty Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruninho

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Vantukh R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Micin P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karpaty Lviv 58 / 100

Zorya 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karpaty Lviv Zorya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karpaty Lviv scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Zorya conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Karpaty Lviv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karpaty Lviv VS Zorya

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shakhtar	30	22	6	2	71:21	72
2	LNZ Cherkasy	30	18	6	6	39:17	60
3	Polissya Zhytomyr	30	18	5	7	51:21	59
4	Dynamo Kyiv	30	17	6	7	66:36	57
5	FC Kharkiv	30	13	12	5	36:19	51
6	Kolos Kovalivka	30	13	10	7	30:25	49
7	Kryvbas	30	13	9	8	53:46	48
8	Zorya	30	12	10	8	42:36	46
9	Karpaty Lviv	30	10	11	9	40:31	41
10	Epitsentr	30	8	8	14	36:45	32
11	Veres Rivne	30	7	10	13	26:40	31
12	Obolon	30	7	10	13	28:49	31
13	Kudrivka	30	7	7	16	32:48	28
14	Rukh Lviv	30	6	3	21	20:51	21
15	Oleksandriya	30	3	8	19	24:58	17
16	SC Poltava	30	2	7	21	23:74	13