Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Sezgin O. F.
Assist: Ozturk E.
71'
Kurtulus A.
71'
Kurtulus A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Karsiyaka and Ayvalikgucu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Karsiyaka
35%
Draws
45%
Ayvalikgucu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayvalikgucu come out ahead of Karsiyaka on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ayvalikgucu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 18%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
May 9, 1992 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezgin O. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 28 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Ayvalikgucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayvalikgucu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ayvalikgucu conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Karsiyaka has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Ayvalikgucu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Ayvalikgucu

(Away)
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1
Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3
Ayvalikgucu
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)