Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Sezgin O. F.
Assist: Ozturk E.
71'
Kurtulus A.
71'
Kurtulus A.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Karsiyaka and Ayvalikgucu finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Karsiyaka
44%
Draws
20%
Ayvalikgucu
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayvalikgucu have managed 1.75 goals a game lately — Karsiyaka are scoring more at 2.88.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 22%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
0:2
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Karsiyaka
0:0
May 9, 1992 1. Lig
Karsiyaka vs Ayvalikgucu
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sezgin O. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 37 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Ayvalikgucu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Karsiyaka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ayvalikgucu has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Ayvalikgucu
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1
Karsiyaka
12 Apr
Karsiyaka
5 : 0
Soke 1970
05 Apr
Bornova 1877
0 : 5
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 7

Ayvalikgucu

(Away)
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0
Ayvalikgucu
04 May
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 0
Eskisehirspor
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)