Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karsiyaka vs Bornova 1877

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hamza K.
Assist: Yesilyurt A.
17' Event
Yildirim E.
21' Event
Inan O.
Assist: Hamza K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Karsiyaka and Bornova 1877 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karsiyaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karsiyaka
6%
Draws
4%
Bornova 1877
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karsiyaka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karsiyaka a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Karsiyaka have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%
Bornova 1877 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Bornova 1877
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 4 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Bornova 1877 vs Karsiyaka
0:5
Dec 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Karsiyaka vs Bornova 1877
3:1
Feb 15, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Bornova 1877 vs Karsiyaka
1:4
Oct 5, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Karsiyaka vs Bornova 1877
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamza K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Bornova 1877 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 95 / 100
Bornova 1877 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Bornova 1877

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bornova 1877 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Karsiyaka scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Karsiyaka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Bornova 1877
4 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184