Sport Picks

Turkey

Turkish Cup

Bursa Yildirimspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Karsiyaka play Bursa Yildirimspor in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karsiyaka averaged 2 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Bursa Yildirimspor averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Karsiyaka won 0, Bursa Yildirimspor won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Karsiyaka and 0.75 for Bursa Yildirimspor. This points to a Karsiyaka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Karsiyaka

30%

Draws

31%

Bursa Yildirimspor

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karsiyaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Karsiyaka picked up more points recently compared to Bursa Yildirimspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 27%

Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Karsiyaka	Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	19	11
Draws	8	10
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	2	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.65	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Turkish Cup

Karsiyaka vs Bursa Yildirimspor

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Atci H. I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 41 / 100

Bursa Yildirimspor 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Karsiyaka Bursa Yildirimspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karsiyaka or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karsiyaka attacking → ← attacking Bursa Yildirimspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Karsiyaka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 43

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38