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Karsiyaka vs Gaziemir Spor Kulubu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Caliskan M.
Assist: Koca I.
86'
Kacaranoglu I.
86'
Kacaranoglu I.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 game between Karsiyaka and Gaziemir Spor Kulubu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaziemir Spor Kulubu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Karsiyaka
20%
Draws
42%
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaziemir Spor Kulubu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karsiyaka come out ahead of Gaziemir Spor Kulubu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gaziemir Spor Kulubu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 20%
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karsiyaka Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 16 3
Draws 7 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Karsiyaka vs Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karsiyaka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gaziemir Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Caliskan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karsiyaka 10 / 100
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karsiyaka Gaziemir Spor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaziemir Spor Kulubu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karsiyaka found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Karsiyaka went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gaziemir Spor Kulubu let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Karsiyaka VS Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karsiyaka

(Home)
06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1
Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
Page 1 of 6

Gaziemir Spor Kulubu

(Away)
07 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Fethiyespor
03 Oct
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Gemlikspor
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
20 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
5 : 0
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)