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Karvan vs Gancabasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Quliyev S.
32' Event
Abdullayev S.
88' Event
Achimi D.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Karvan and Gancabasar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karvan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karvan
20%
Draws
40%
Gancabasar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gancabasar come out ahead of Karvan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Karvan's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Karvan Clean Sheet 13%
Gancabasar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Gancabasar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 I Liqa
Karvan vs Gancabasar
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Gancabasar
2:0
Feb 19, 2025 I Liqa
Gancabasar vs Karvan
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 I Liqa
Karvan vs Gancabasar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Quliyev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullayev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gancabasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Achimi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 35 / 100
Gancabasar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Gancabasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gancabasar let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Karvan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Karvan scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS Gancabasar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

Gancabasar

(Away)
05 Nov
Sabail
2 : 2
Gancabasar
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
2 : 3
Gancabasar
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
10 Oct
Gancabasar
2 : 0
Baku Sporting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)