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Karvan vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025
Karvan Logo

Karvan

2 - 2
FT
Lokbatan Logo

Lokbatan

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mutallimov T.
45' Event
Amircanov T.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Morgan E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between Karvan and Lokbatan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karvan
20%
Draws
40%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Karvan haven't matched Lokbatan's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Karvan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Karvan Clean Sheet 68%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Lokbatan
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Lokbatan
2:2
Mar 13, 2025 I Liqa
Lokbatan vs Karvan
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup
Lokbatan vs Karvan
3:0
Sep 11, 2024 I Liqa
Karvan vs Lokbatan
1:0
Apr 18, 2024 I Liqa
Karvan vs Lokbatan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Qasymov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutallimov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 50 / 100
Lokbatan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokbatan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lokbatan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Karvan's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS Lokbatan
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
05 May
Karvan
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
27 Apr
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Karvan
Page 1 of 7

Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gabala 27 21 4 2 56:8 67
2 Imisli FK 27 15 7 5 43:20 52
3 Karvan 27 13 8 6 53:37 47
4 Mingachevir 27 9 8 10 30:36 35
5 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 10 9 35:34 34
6 MOIK Baku 27 8 6 13 29:43 30
7 Cebrayil 27 8 5 14 26:34 29
8 Baku Sporting 27 7 7 13 21:43 28
9 Difai Agsu 27 7 5 15 36:54 26
10 Lokbatan 27 5 8 14 27:47 23
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - I Liqa 2024/2025 (Relegation)