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Karvan vs Sahdag Qusar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karvan host Sahdag Qusar in the I Liqa. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Karvan have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.67 conceded recently, against Sahdag Qusar's 1.83 scored and 0.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Sahdag Qusar slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Sahdag Qusar. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Karvan
15%
Draws
46%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sahdag Qusar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sahdag Qusar a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Karvan Clean Sheet 16%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan
2:0
Mar 22, 2014 I Liqa
Karvan vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Nov 16, 2013 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan
5:0
Mar 24, 2012 I Liqa
Karvan vs Sahdag Qusar
2:2
Oct 30, 2011 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs Karvan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 11 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sahdag Qusar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Karvan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Karvan scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Sahdag Qusar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS Sahdag Qusar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
28 Oct
MOIK Baku
1 : 9
Sahdag Qusar
21 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 0
Sabail
15 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
17 Sept
Shimal
1 : 4
Sahdag Qusar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)