Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karvan vs SumQayit FK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Yevlakh City Stadium, Yevlakh
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jankovic A.
28'
Abdullayev A.
30'
Sub
Rustamli R. In: Yunuszada E.
Out: Rustamli R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Karvan and SumQayit FK finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SumQayit FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Karvan
15%
Draws
73%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SumQayit FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • SumQayit FK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SumQayit FK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SumQayit FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Karvan Clean Sheet 14%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan SumQayit FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.73 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League
Karvan vs SumQayit FK
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Karvan vs SumQayit FK
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Karvan
4:1
Dec 18, 2023 Azerbaijan Cup
SumQayit FK vs Karvan
3:1
Mar 12, 2011 I Liqa
Karvan vs SumQayit FK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karvan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SumQayit FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jankovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasquez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 23 / 100
SumQayit FK 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SumQayit FK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Karvan scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS SumQayit FK
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
05 May
Karvan
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
27 Apr
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

SumQayit FK

(Away)
22 May
SumQayit FK
3 : 4
Qarabag Agdam
17 May
Zira FK
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
09 May
SumQayit FK
2 : 1
Araz PFK
02 May
Kapaz
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
25 Apr
Imisli FK
0 : 2
SumQayit FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)