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Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mammadov E.
14' Event
Aliyev I.
22' Event
Aliyev I.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Karvan and Zaqatala PFK finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karvan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Karvan
20%
Draws
7%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Zaqatala PFK have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Karvan are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Model gives Karvan a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Karvan Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:0
May 9, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
3:0
Mar 7, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2
Dec 13, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
2:2
Apr 5, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mustafayev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 85 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaqatala PFK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Karvan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Zaqatala PFK has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS Zaqatala PFK
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
05 Nov
Karvan
4 : 1
Shimal
29 Oct
Zangazur (Am)
1 : 4
Karvan
22 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Karvan
16 Oct
Karvan
2 : 1
Gancabasar
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
05 Nov
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
27 Oct
Marafon
1 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
22 Oct
Gancabasar
7 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
15 Oct
Zaqatala PFK
1 : 3
Sabail
07 Oct
Sahdag Qusar
6 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gancabasar 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
2 Sahdag Qusar 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
3 MOIK Baku 7 4 2 1 13:5 14
4 Karvan 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
5 Sabail 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
6 Shimal 7 2 2 3 14:15 8
7 FC Khankendi 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Zaqatala PFK 7 1 2 4 7:22 5
9 Mingachevir 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
10 Baku Sporting 7 0 1 6 4:18 1
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)