Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mammadov E.
14' Event
Aliyev I.
22' Event
Aliyev I.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Karvan and Zaqatala PFK finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karvan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karvan
20%
Draws
40%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zaqatala PFK come out ahead of Karvan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karvan a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Karvan Clean Sheet 15%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karvan Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:0
May 9, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
3:0
Mar 7, 2025 I Liqa
Karvan vs Zaqatala PFK
3:2
Dec 13, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
2:2
Apr 5, 2024 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Karvan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mustafayev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karvan 84 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karvan Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Zaqatala PFK conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Karvan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Karvan found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Karvan VS Zaqatala PFK
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karvan

(Home)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
15 May
Karvan
1 : 2
Gabala
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
6 FC Khankendi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
7 MOIK Baku 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)