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Kasetsart vs Chiangmai United Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Insee Chantarasatit Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jeong W.
45' Event
Jorates K.
48' Event
Seo M.

AI Match Summary

Chiangmai United in this Thai League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiangmai United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kasetsart
15%
Draws
76%
Chiangmai United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiangmai United have won more games recently than Kasetsart.
  • Chiangmai United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 16%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasetsart Chiangmai United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 0
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Chiangmai United
3:4
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Chiangmai United
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Kasetsart
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasetsart Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorates K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Songvejkasem B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chiangmai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasetsart 10 / 100
Chiangmai United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasetsart Chiangmai United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiangmai United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Kasetsart found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Kasetsart has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kasetsart VS Chiangmai United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasetsart

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
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Chiangmai United

(Away)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)