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Kasetsart vs Mahasarakham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kasetsart host Mahasarakham in the Thai League 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mahasarakham have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Kasetsart have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.15. Past meetings favor Mahasarakham slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back Mahasarakham to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kasetsart
35%
Draws
52%
Mahasarakham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mahasarakham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mahasarakham come out ahead of Kasetsart on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 19%
Mahasarakham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasetsart Mahasarakham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.15 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Mahasarakham
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Kasetsart
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Thai League 2
Mahasarakham vs Kasetsart
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Mahasarakham
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasetsart 36 / 100
Mahasarakham 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasetsart Mahasarakham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mahasarakham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kasetsart scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Mahasarakham let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Kasetsart has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kasetsart VS Mahasarakham
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasetsart

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

Mahasarakham

(Away)
19 Sept
Kanchanaburi
1 : 1
Mahasarakham
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Khonkaen United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
05 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Songkhla
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
6 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
7 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
8 Kanchanaburi 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
10 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
11 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
12 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
14 Phrae United 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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