Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kasetsart vs Nong Bua Pitchaya

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Insee Chantarasatit Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Darbellay D.
54' Event
Sassi I.
90' Event
Verset Q.

AI Match Summary

Kasetsart host Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Kasetsart at 1.25 goals for, 1.38 against; Nong Bua Pitchaya at 2.38 for, 2.63 against. Past meetings favor Nong Bua Pitchaya slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.88) point toward Nong Bua Pitchaya. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kasetsart
39%
Draws
31%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kasetsart.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Thai League 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 10%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasetsart Nong Bua Pitchaya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart
10:1
Oct 28, 2023 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:4
Mar 31, 2021 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasetsart Compare

Top Goalscorer Darbellay D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sassi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasetsart 29 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasetsart Nong Bua Pitchaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasetsart scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Nong Bua Pitchaya let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Kasetsart went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nong Bua Pitchaya lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kasetsart VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00