Sport Picks
Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Mercari Stadium, Kashima 
Match Events
31'
31'
Nara T.
Own Goal
39'
39'
Nara T.
43'
43'
Morooka S.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Kashima Antlers and Avispa Fukuoka finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashima Antlers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashima Antlers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kashima Antlers come out ahead of Avispa Fukuoka on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Kashima Antlers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 68%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kashima Antlers | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers
3:3
Aug 16, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Emperors Cup
Kashima Antlers vs Avispa Fukuoka
3:2
May 6, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kashima Antlers Compare
Top Goalscorer Leo Ceara
1 Goals Assists Leader Cavric A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Avispa Fukuoka Compare
Top Goalscorer Morooka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kashima Antlers 95 / 100
Avispa Fukuoka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kashima Antlers Avispa Fukuoka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kashima Antlers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kashima Antlers's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Avispa Fukuoka let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Kashima Antlers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kashima Antlers VS Avispa Fukuoka
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kashima Antlers
(Home) 09 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1 Newcastle Jets
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1 Kofu
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1 Newcastle Jets
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1 Urawa Reds
26 Aug
Kashima Antlers
3 : 0 Atletico Suzuka
Page 1 of 3
Avispa Fukuoka
(Away) 10 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 1 Okayama
07 Oct
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Yokohama FC
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
29 Aug
Kyoto
2 : 1 Avispa Fukuoka
22 Aug
Kashima Antlers
3 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
