Sport Picks
Kashima Antlers vs Cerezo Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Mercari Stadium, Kashima 
AI Match Summary
Kashima Antlers host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Cerezo Osaka have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Kashima Antlers have conceded 1.11 and scored 2.14. Head-to-head, Kashima Antlers have won 3 to Cerezo Osaka's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.25 - 1.31) back Kashima Antlers to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cerezo Osaka haven't matched Kashima Antlers's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Kashima Antlers's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kashima Antlers | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kashima Antlers scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Kashima Antlers went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Cerezo Osaka let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kashima Antlers
(Home)Cerezo Osaka
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 30:10 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20:23 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 10 | Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:17 | 13 |
| 14 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Mito | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Kyoto | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 19 | Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10:22 | 6 |
| 20 | Verdy | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6:20 | 5 |
