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Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Mercari Stadium, Kashima
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kashima Antlers host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kashima Antlers have averaged 2.15 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Kashiwa Reysol's 2.07 scored and 1.29 conceded. Head-to-head, Kashima Antlers have won 4 to Kashiwa Reysol's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 2.13) point toward Kashima Antlers. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kashima Antlers
15%
Draws
46%
Kashiwa Reysol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Kashiwa Reysol haven't matched Kashima Antlers's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kashima Antlers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 10%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashima Antlers Kashiwa Reysol
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 20 18
Draws 1 0
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.15 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashima Antlers 30 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashima Antlers Kashiwa Reysol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashima Antlers found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Kashima Antlers stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kashiwa Reysol conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kashima Antlers VS Kashiwa Reysol
2.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashima Antlers

(Home)
13 Oct
Cong An Ha Noi
0 : 1
Kashima Antlers
09 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 0
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
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Kashiwa Reysol

(Away)
14 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 1
Port MTI FC
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 FC Tokyo 10 7 2 1 21:8 23
3 Kashiwa Reysol 10 7 0 3 22:17 21
4 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
5 Kashima Antlers 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
6 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10 4 4 2 21:16 16
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
9 Urawa Reds 10 5 0 5 17:21 15
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
11 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
12 Nagoya Grampus 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
13 Cerezo Osaka 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
14 Mito 10 2 3 5 12:14 9
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 Kyoto 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
19 Chiba 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
20 Verdy 10 0 4 6 4:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)