Sport Picks
Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Mercari Stadium, Kashima 
AI Match Summary
Kashima Antlers host V-Varen Nagasaki in the J1 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kashima Antlers have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against V-Varen Nagasaki's 1.17 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Kashima Antlers have won 5 to V-Varen Nagasaki's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Kashima Antlers. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Kashima Antlers come out ahead of V-Varen Nagasaki on wins alone.
- Model gives Kashima Antlers a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kashima Antlers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kashima Antlers | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kashima Antlers found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
V-Varen Nagasaki has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Kashima Antlers stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kashima Antlers
(Home)V-Varen Nagasaki
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
