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Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Abe H.
20'
Baba S.
37' Event
Hosoya M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kashiwa Reysol
15%
Draws
26%
Imabari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Kashiwa Reysol have won more games recently than Imabari.
  • Model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Kashiwa Reysol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kashiwa Reysol, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%
Imabari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Imabari
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 0 1
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Emperors Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosoya M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kubo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Imabari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100
Imabari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Imabari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imabari has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kashiwa Reysol scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Kashiwa Reysol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Imabari
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

Imabari

(Away)
26 Sept
Imabari
1 : 2
Shonan Bellmare
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
19 Sept
Yokohama FC
2 : 1
Imabari
12 Sept
Imabari
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Imabari
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori -
Verdy -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Iwaki -
Okayama -
Chiba -
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka -
Yokohama FC -
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Kyoto Sangyo -
Urawa Reds -
Omiya Ardija -
Cerezo Osaka -
Kagoshima United -
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo -
Shonan Bellmare -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -