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Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol host Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kawasaki Frontale have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Kashiwa Reysol have conceded 1.3 and scored 2.07. Past meetings favor Kashiwa Reysol slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.88) back Kashiwa Reysol to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kashiwa Reysol
20%
Draws
42%
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Kawasaki Frontale.
  • Win probability leans Kashiwa Reysol's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 10%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
5:3
Oct 12, 2025 J.League Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
4:1
Oct 8, 2025 J.League Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 65 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Kawasaki Frontale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Kashiwa Reysol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kashiwa Reysol found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kawasaki Frontale conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Kawasaki Frontale
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
03 Nov
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 0
Daejeon
31 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Urawa Reds
27 Oct
Ratchaburi
0 : 0
Kashiwa Reysol
24 Oct
Kashima Antlers
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
21 Oct
FC Tokyo
0 : 0
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

Kawasaki Frontale

(Away)
01 Nov
Yokohama F. Marinos
4 : 2
Kawasaki Frontale
28 Oct
Sagan Tosu
0 : 2
Kawasaki Frontale
25 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Okayama
21 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Vissel Kobe
17 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 4
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tokyo 13 9 3 1 31:8 30
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13 9 2 2 32:10 29
3 Machida Zelvia 13 8 4 1 30:10 28
4 Kashiwa Reysol 13 9 1 3 29:19 28
5 Vissel Kobe 13 8 2 3 21:12 26
6 Kashima Antlers 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
7 Kawasaki Frontale 13 6 4 3 27:22 22
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13 5 6 2 20:14 21
9 Urawa Reds 13 7 0 6 21:27 21
10 Okayama 13 5 1 7 15:21 16
11 Nagoya Grampus 13 4 2 7 15:21 14
12 Cerezo Osaka 13 3 5 5 13:23 14
13 Shimizu S-Pulse 13 4 2 7 10:22 14
14 Kyoto 13 3 4 6 17:23 13
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
16 Gamba Osaka 13 2 6 5 14:21 12
17 Verdy 13 2 5 6 11:22 11
18 Chiba 13 2 4 7 15:24 10
19 Mito 13 2 3 8 12:25 9
20 Avispa Fukuoka 13 2 1 10 13:24 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)