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Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kashiwa Reysol host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vissel Kobe have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Kashiwa Reysol have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Vissel Kobe slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.63, favoring Vissel Kobe. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kashiwa Reysol
15%
Draws
47%
Vissel Kobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vissel Kobe come out ahead of Kashiwa Reysol on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 14%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Vissel Kobe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 20
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
May 31, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
1:3
Nov 30, 2024 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
1:1
Aug 21, 2024 Emperors Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
0:1
Mar 2, 2024 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kashiwa Reysol 30 / 100
Vissel Kobe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kashiwa Reysol Vissel Kobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kashiwa Reysol scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Vissel Kobe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Kashiwa Reysol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kashiwa Reysol VS Vissel Kobe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kashiwa Reysol

(Home)
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

Vissel Kobe

(Away)
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)