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Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, Istanbul
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kasimpasa host Alanyaspor in the Super Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kasimpasa have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Alanyaspor's 1.28 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Kasimpasa have won 5 to Alanyaspor's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Kasimpasa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kasimpasa
20%
Draws
23%
Alanyaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kasimpasa come out ahead of Alanyaspor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kasimpasa a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kasimpasa have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 20%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasimpasa Alanyaspor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasimpasa 85 / 100
Alanyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasimpasa Alanyaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kasimpasa scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Alanyaspor conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kasimpasa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kasimpasa VS Alanyaspor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasimpasa

(Home)
01 Nov
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Besiktas
29 Oct
Kasimpasa
3 : 1
Corluspor
24 Oct
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Kasimpasa
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
09 Oct
Galatasaray
3 : 1
Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6

Alanyaspor

(Away)
02 Nov
Genclerbirligi
5 : 0
Alanyaspor
27 Oct
Alanyaspor
4 : 1
12 Bingol Spor
23 Oct
Alanyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
17 Oct
Fenerbahce
3 : 0
Alanyaspor
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 10 8 1 1 23:12 25
2 Amedspor 10 7 2 1 25:11 23
3 Trabzonspor 10 7 1 2 24:8 22
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 20:12 19
5 Kasimpasa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
6 Fenerbahce 10 5 1 4 24:10 16
7 Corum FK 10 5 1 4 21:16 16
8 Kocaelispor 10 5 1 4 11:9 16
9 Goztepe 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
10 Basaksehir 10 4 2 4 17:16 14
11 Erzurumspor FK 10 4 2 4 9:15 14
12 Alanyaspor 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
13 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
14 Genclerbirligi 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
15 Konyaspor 10 2 2 6 6:13 8
16 Gaziantep 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Samsunspor 10 1 1 8 10:26 4
18 Eyupspor 10 1 0 9 3:28 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)