Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaspij Aktau 2 play Kairat Almaty 2 in the First League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kaspij Aktau 2 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Kairat Almaty 2 averaged 3.63 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Kaspij Aktau 2 won 0, Kairat Almaty 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Kaspij Aktau 2 and 2.75 for Kairat Almaty 2. This points to a Kairat Almaty 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kaspij Aktau 2
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kaspij Aktau 2.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Kairat Almaty 2.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kaspij Aktau 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaspij Aktau 2 Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 4 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.13 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 First League
Kaspij Aktau 2 vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaspij Aktau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Armenov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazarbaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaspij Aktau 2 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaspij Aktau 2 Kairat Almaty 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaspij Aktau 2 scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Kairat Almaty 2 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kaspij Aktau 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kairat Almaty 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaspij Aktau 2 VS Kairat Almaty 2
1.13 Goals Scored 3.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 213112044:735
2Shakhter Karagandy13111136:534
3Turan1381425:1125
4FC Astana 21362524:2220
5Akademiya Ontustik1362519:1720
6Jaiyq1361611:1719
7Khan Tengri1352618:2517
8FC Ekibastuz1345417:2417
9Taraz1351719:1916
10Aktobe 21344526:3916
11Kaspij Aktau 21343616:2215
12Arys1331915:2810
13Tobol 21314821:387
14Yelimay Semey 21313910:276