Sport Picks
Kaspij Aktau vs Ordabasy
Kazakhstan
Premier League Zhestar Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Kaspij Aktau play Ordabasy in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kaspij Aktau averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Ordabasy averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Kaspij Aktau won 1, Ordabasy won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Kaspij Aktau and 1.69 for Ordabasy. This points to a Ordabasy double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kaspij Aktau picked up more points recently compared to Ordabasy.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.69 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaspij Aktau | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaspij Aktau scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Ordabasy let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Kaspij Aktau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Ordabasy lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 27:9 | 37 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 27 |
| 4 | FC Astana | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 26 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Ulytau | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Aktobe | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Atyrau | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhenis | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13:19 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 13 | Tobol | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | 15 |
| 14 | Kaspij Aktau | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Ertis Pavlodar | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 16 | Altai | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10:18 | 10 |