Sport Picks
Kaspij Aktau vs Kairat Almaty
Kazakhstan
Premier League Zhestar Stadium, Aktau 
Match Events
4'
4'
Baybek O.
21'
21'
Tapalov E.
44'
44'
Edmilson
Assist: Tapalov E.
AI Match Summary
Kairat Almaty in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Kaspij Aktau haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kairat Almaty have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 19%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaspij Aktau | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Kairat Almaty
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaspij Aktau
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Kairat Almaty vs Kaspij Aktau
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Kairat Almaty
1:1
Mar 14, 2023 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaspij Aktau
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaspij Aktau Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Baybek O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Edmilson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaspij Aktau 32 / 100
Kairat Almaty 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaspij Aktau Kairat Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaspij Aktau's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kairat Almaty let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Kaspij Aktau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kaspij Aktau VS Kairat Almaty
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaspij Aktau
(Home) 18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2 Yelimay Semey
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
Kairat Almaty
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Kairat Almaty
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
