Sport Picks
Kaspij Aktau vs Ulytau Prediction & H2H Stats
Kazakhstan
Premier League Zhestar Stadium, Aktau 
Match Events
19'
19'
Afanasenko V.
20'
20'
Abylaykhan R.
Penalty Missed
28'
28'
Klimovich V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaspij Aktau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Kaspij Aktau at 1.14 per game, Ulytau at 1.07.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Kaspij Aktau taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Kaspij Aktau Clean Sheet 68%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaspij Aktau | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Kaspij Aktau vs Ulytau
1:1
May 16, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Kaspij Aktau
1:0
Jul 26, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Kaspij Aktau
0:0
Apr 25, 2024 First League
Kaspij Aktau vs Ulytau
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaspij Aktau Compare
Top Goalscorer Sylla K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ulytau Compare
Top Goalscorer Zulfikarov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaspij Aktau 50 / 100
Ulytau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaspij Aktau Ulytau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kaspij Aktau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kaspij Aktau scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Ulytau conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Kaspij Aktau has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kaspij Aktau VS Ulytau
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaspij Aktau
(Home) 18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2 Yelimay Semey
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 2 Aktobe
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 0 Tobol
16 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
2 : 2 Yelimay Semey
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
Ulytau
(Away) 18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1 Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1 Ulytau
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1 Ulytau
18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
