Sport Picks
Kassel vs Schott Mainz
Germany
Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 Auestadion, Kassel 
Match Events
4'
4'
Roden J.
22'
22'
Dahlke J.
81'
81'
Girth B.
AI Match Summary
Kassel in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kassel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Schott Mainz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Kassel at 2.04 per game, Schott Mainz at 1.86.
- Schott Mainz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%
Schott Mainz Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kassel | Schott Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.04 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Schott Mainz
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs Kassel
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Schott Mainz
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs Kassel
0:5
Apr 9, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Schott Mainz vs Kassel
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kassel Compare
Top Goalscorer Dahlke J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Girth B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Schott Mainz Compare
Top Goalscorer Roden J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kassel 22 / 100
Schott Mainz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kassel Schott Mainz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Schott Mainz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kassel found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
Schott Mainz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Kassel went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kassel VS Schott Mainz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Kassel
(Home) 01 Sept
Kassel
0 : 1 Eintracht Trier
29 Aug
TSV Steinbach Haiger
2 : 1 Kassel
16 Aug
Freiburg II
5 : 1 Kassel
08 Aug
Kassel
3 : 0 Eintracht Frankfurt II
01 Aug
Kassel
0 : 5 Schalke
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Kassel
0 : 1 Eintracht Trier
08 Aug
Kassel
3 : 0 Eintracht Frankfurt II
01 Aug
Kassel
0 : 5 Schalke
19 Jul
Kassel
4 : 1 Lippstadt
09 May
Kassel
2 : 0 TSV Steinbach Haiger
Page 1 of 3
Schott Mainz
(Away) 29 Aug
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
1 : 1 Schott Mainz
23 Aug
Schott Mainz
0 : 5 B. Monchengladbach
15 Aug
Engers
1 : 3 Schott Mainz
12 Aug
Schott Mainz
4 : 1 Cosmos Koblenz
08 Aug
Schott Mainz
2 : 2 Emmelshausen-Karbach
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
1 : 1 Schott Mainz
15 Aug
Engers
1 : 3 Schott Mainz
02 Aug
Ahrweiler
0 : 3 Schott Mainz
16 May
Eintracht Trier
2 : 0 Schott Mainz
02 May
Sandhausen
0 : 1 Schott Mainz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 86:43 | 68 |
| 2 | Freiberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 68:38 | 62 |
| 3 | FSV Frankfurt | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 64:48 | 57 |
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 71:42 | 56 |
| 5 | TSV Steinbach Haiger | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 78:58 | 56 |
| 6 | Kassel | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62:51 | 54 |
| 7 | Stutt. Kickers | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 51:44 | 54 |
| 8 | Sandhausen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 53:56 | 54 |
| 9 | Mainz II | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 52:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 51:44 | 49 |
| 11 | Freiburg II | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 74:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Astoria Walldorf | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:65 | 47 |
| 13 | Eintracht Trier | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 48:52 | 47 |
| 14 | Kickers Offenbach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 57:58 | 43 |
| 15 | Alzenau | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 45:74 | 27 |
| 16 | Schott Mainz | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:83 | 25 |
| 17 | Balingen | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 38:87 | 25 |
| 18 | Bahlinger | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 34:75 | 22 |
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)
