Sport Picks

Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 Auestadion

Kassel

2 - 1

Schott Mainz

Our Tip

Match Events

Roden J.

22'

Dahlke J.

81'

Girth B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kassel in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kassel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kassel

Draws

Schott Mainz

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kassel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Schott Mainz haven't matched Kassel's recent run of results.
Kassel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Kassel Clean Sheet 18%

Schott Mainz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kassel	Schott Mainz
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	6	3
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	2	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest

Kassel vs Schott Mainz

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Sep 13, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest

Schott Mainz vs Kassel

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Mar 23, 2024 Regionalliga Sudwest

Kassel vs Schott Mainz

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sep 17, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest

Schott Mainz vs Kassel

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

0:5

Apr 9, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest

Schott Mainz vs Kassel

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kassel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlke J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Girth B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Schott Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Roden J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kassel 85 / 100

Schott Mainz 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kassel Schott Mainz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kassel found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Schott Mainz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Kassel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kassel VS Schott Mainz

2 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 3

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sonnenhof Grossaspach	34	20	8	6	86:43	68
2	Freiberg	34	18	8	8	68:38	62
3	FSV Frankfurt	34	16	9	9	64:48	57
4	FC 08 Homburg	34	15	11	8	71:42	56
5	TSV Steinbach Haiger	34	16	8	10	78:58	56
6	Kassel	34	15	9	10	62:51	54
7	Stutt. Kickers	34	17	3	14	51:44	54
8	Sandhausen	34	16	6	12	53:56	54
9	Mainz II	34	14	11	9	52:45	53
10	Fulda-Lehnerz	34	13	10	11	51:44	49
11	Freiburg II	34	14	6	14	74:73	48
12	Astoria Walldorf	34	13	8	13	64:65	47
13	Eintracht Trier	34	13	8	13	48:52	47
14	Kickers Offenbach	34	11	10	13	57:58	43
15	Alzenau	34	7	6	21	45:74	27
16	Schott Mainz	34	7	4	23	40:83	25
17	Balingen	34	6	7	21	38:87	25
18	Bahlinger	34	4	10	20	34:75	22