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Kassel vs Ulm Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest Auestadion, Kassel
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bonianga P.
57' Event
Wahling O.
68' Event
Chessa D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest game between Kassel and Ulm finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Kassel
30%
Draws
16%
Ulm
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kassel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kassel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kassel's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Sudwest form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kassel Clean Sheet 16%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kassel Ulm
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Ulm
2:2
Apr 22, 2023 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Ulm
0:2
Oct 15, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Kassel
3:0
Mar 5, 2022 Regionalliga Sudwest
Kassel vs Ulm
0:0
Sep 19, 2021 Regionalliga Sudwest
Ulm vs Kassel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kassel Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonianga P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sararer S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahling O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chessa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kassel 39 / 100
Ulm 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kassel Ulm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kassel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Kassel scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Kassel has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kassel VS Ulm
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kassel

(Home)
26 Sept
Kassel
1 : 2
Mainz II
19 Sept
FC 08 Homburg
2 : 2
Kassel
11 Sept
Kassel
2 : 1
Kickers Offenbach
08 Sept
FSV Frankfurt
2 : 0
Kassel
05 Sept
Kassel
5 : 2
Sandhausen
Page 1 of 6

Ulm

(Away)
26 Sept
Ulm
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
19 Sept
Sandhausen
2 : 2
Ulm
12 Sept
Ulm
1 : 2
FSV Frankfurt
08 Sept
Aalen
2 : 0
Ulm
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stutt. Kickers 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
2 Freiberg 9 5 4 0 24:9 19
3 Kickers Offenbach 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
4 Eintracht Trier 9 5 1 3 10:7 16
5 Aalen 9 4 3 2 14:10 15
6 VfR Mannheim 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
7 FC 08 Homburg 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
8 Freiburg II 8 3 4 1 16:11 13
9 Sandhausen 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
10 FSV Frankfurt 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
11 TSV Steinbach Haiger 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
12 Eintracht Frankfurt II 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
13 Kassel 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Mainz II 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Kaiserslautern II 9 2 3 4 7:18 9
16 Astoria Walldorf 9 1 3 5 11:17 6
17 Fulda-Lehnerz 9 1 2 6 13:21 5
18 Ulm 9 0 4 5 11:19 4
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)