Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Zitouni C.
45'
45'
Jerbi W.
49'
49'
Louay A.
AI Match Summary
Kasserine in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kasserine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ariana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Ariana haven't matched Kasserine's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Kasserine's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 68%
Ariana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasserine | Ariana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Ariana
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Ariana vs Kasserine
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasserine Compare
Top Goalscorer Zitouni C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jerbi W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Ariana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasserine 86 / 100
Ariana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasserine Ariana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kasserine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kasserine scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Ariana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Kasserine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kasserine VS Ariana
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasserine
(Home) 25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Kasserine
2 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
04 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 0 Korba
27 Feb
Kasserine
1 : 1 Moknine
Page 1 of 3
Ariana
(Away) 16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0 Sidi Bouzid
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0 Ariana
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0 Ariana
04 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 2 Ariana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
