Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Ferjani W.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Kasserine and Ksour Essef finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kasserine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ksour Essef
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kasserine come out ahead of Ksour Essef on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 20%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kasserine | Ksour Essef |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Ksour Essef
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Kasserine
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kasserine Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferjani W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Ksour Essef Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kasserine 31 / 100
Ksour Essef 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kasserine Ksour Essef
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kasserine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kasserine scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Ksour Essef has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Ksour Essef's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Games between these two average 0.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Kasserine VS Ksour Essef
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kasserine
(Home) 25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0 Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0 Kasserine
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1 Stade Gabesien
11 Apr
Kasserine
2 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
04 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 0 Korba
27 Feb
Kasserine
1 : 1 Moknine
Page 1 of 3
Ksour Essef
(Away) 20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
