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Kasserine vs Moknine

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Troudi I.
83' Event
Hichri M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Kasserine and Moknine finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kasserine
20%
Draws
40%
Moknine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kasserine come out ahead of Moknine on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kasserine's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kasserine Clean Sheet 68%
Moknine Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasserine Moknine
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Kasserine vs Moknine
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Kasserine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kasserine Compare

Top Goalscorer Troudi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Moknine Compare

Top Goalscorer Hichri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasserine 50 / 100
Moknine 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasserine Moknine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasserine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kasserine's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Moknine let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kasserine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kasserine VS Moknine
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasserine

(Home)
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
28 Apr
Kasserine
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

Moknine

(Away)
27 Sept
Moknine
0 : 3
Redeyef
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1
Ariana
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Moknine
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1
Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3
Moknine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)