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Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kastamonuspor host Arnavutkoy Bl. in the 2. Lig White Group. This one's hard to separate. Arnavutkoy Bl. have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Kastamonuspor have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Kastamonuspor slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.25, favoring Arnavutkoy Bl.. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kastamonuspor
15%
Draws
42%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastamonuspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Arnavutkoy Bl. have won more games recently than Kastamonuspor.
  • Win probability leans Arnavutkoy Bl.'s way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastamonuspor Arnavutkoy Bl.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Kastamonuspor
2:2
Dec 24, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Kastamonuspor vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastamonuspor 18 / 100
Arnavutkoy Bl. 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastamonuspor Arnavutkoy Bl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnavutkoy Bl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Kastamonuspor found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Arnavutkoy Bl. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Arnavutkoy Bl.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kastamonuspor VS Arnavutkoy Bl.
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastamonuspor

(Home)
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1
Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5
Corluspor
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3
Muglaspor
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Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Away)
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
19 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Corluspor
12 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
25 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Musspor 4 3 1 0 14:7 10
3 Aliaga 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Guzide Gebzespor 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Corluspor 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
6 Erbaaspor 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
7 Inegol Kafkas 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
8 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
9 Menemenspor 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
10 Aksaray Bld. 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
11 Sanliurfaspor 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
12 Isparta 32 Spor 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
14 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
15 Arnavutkoy Bl. 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
16 Kastamonuspor 4 1 0 3 2:12 0
17 Hatayspor 4 1 1 2 2:3 -2
18 Adanademirspor 4 1 1 2 3:7 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)