Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kastamonuspor vs Cine Madran

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kastamonuspor play Cine Madran in the TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kastamonuspor averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Cine Madran averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Kastamonuspor won 2, Cine Madran won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2016 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Kastamonuspor and 1.25 for Cine Madran. This points to a Kastamonuspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kastamonuspor
26%
Draws
26%
Cine Madran
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Kastamonuspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Kastamonuspor picked up more points recently compared to Cine Madran.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 19%
Cine Madran Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastamonuspor Cine Madran
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 3. Lig Group 3
Kastamonuspor vs Cine Madran
2:0
Sep 27, 2015 3. Lig Group 3
Cine Madran vs Kastamonuspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastamonuspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cetin Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uzun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cine Madran Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastamonuspor 47 / 100
Cine Madran 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastamonuspor Cine Madran

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kastamonuspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kastamonuspor attacking → ← attacking Cine Madran

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastamonuspor scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Cine Madran let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kastamonuspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cine Madran lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 29
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kastamonuspor36228659:3174
2Bayburt Ozel Idare361871137:2661
3Nigde Anadolu361710952:3461
4Corum FK361851347:3659
5Beylerbeyi SK361781145:3759
6Golcukspor3616101043:3358
7Darica Genclerbirligi361315850:3654
824Erzincanspor361121442:3054
9Dersim Spor3613121140:4451
10Dardanelspor361471545:3849
11Catalca Spor361017937:3347
12Batman Petrolspor361381537:4247
13Manavgatspor3611111450:5244
14Izmir Coruhlu361191639:4642
15Vanspor FK3610121433:4642
16Korfez Iskenderunspor369131437:5540
17Tavsanli Linyitspor36972031:4434
18Cine Madran367101927:4831
19Sandiklispor36562535:7521