Sport Picks
Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
2. Lig White Group 
Match Events
81'
81'
Temizkan K.
Assist: Guler S.
AI Match Summary
Kastamonuspor in this 2. Lig White Group matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kastamonuspor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastamonuspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kastamonuspor lately — more wins on the board than Hatayspor.
- Win probability leans Hatayspor's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kastamonuspor | Hatayspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor
1:0
Jan 21, 2018 2. Lig Red Group
Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor
0:1
Aug 26, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor
2:0
May 8, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor
1:1
May 4, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Hatayspor vs Kastamonuspor
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kastamonuspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Temizkan K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Hatayspor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kastamonuspor 10 / 100
Hatayspor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kastamonuspor Hatayspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hatayspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hatayspor has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Kastamonuspor's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Hatayspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Kastamonuspor VS Hatayspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kastamonuspor
(Home) 10 Oct
Musspor
1 : 0 Kastamonuspor
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1 Arnavutkoy Bl.
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1 Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0 Kastamonuspor
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1 Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5 Corluspor
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3 Muglaspor
08 Apr
Kastamonuspor
2 : 2 Karaman FK
Page 1 of 3
Hatayspor
(Away) 11 Oct
Hatayspor
0 : 3 Elazigspor
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2 Karakopru
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0 Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0 Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0 Hatayspor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2 Hatayspor
11 Apr
Sariyer
4 : 0 Hatayspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Musspor | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Aliaga | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 3 | Elazigspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Corluspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Inegol Kafkas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Isparta 32 Spor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 7 | Guzide Gebzespor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 8 | Sanliurfaspor | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 9 | Menemenspor | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Erbaaspor | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Soma Spor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Aksaray Bld. | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 13 | Ankaraspor | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Kastamonuspor | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 15 | Sebat Spor Kulubu | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 2 |
| 16 | Arnavutkoy Bl. | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | 0 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 |
| 18 | Adanademirspor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -44 |
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)
