Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kastamonuspor vs Karaman FK

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Akpinar H.
Assist: Koyuncu F.
31' Event
Ayaroglu H.
Assist: Kose A.
56' Event
Ayaroglu H.
Assist: Ari K.

AI Match Summary

Kastamonuspor host Karaman FK in the 2. Lig White Group. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kastamonuspor have averaged 0.38 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Karaman FK's 0.63 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor Kastamonuspor slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.00, favoring Kastamonuspor. Kastamonuspor in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Kastamonuspor
33%
Draws
40%
Karaman FK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karaman FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Kastamonuspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Karaman FK.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Karaman FK.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 2. Lig White Group provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 20%
Karaman FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastamonuspor Karaman FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Kastamonuspor vs Karaman FK
2:2
Dec 12, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Karaman FK vs Kastamonuspor
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Karaman FK vs Kastamonuspor
0:3
Dec 10, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Kastamonuspor vs Karaman FK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastamonuspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayaroglu H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Karaman FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpinar H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koyuncu F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastamonuspor 28 / 100
Karaman FK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastamonuspor Karaman FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastamonuspor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Karaman FK let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Kastamonuspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Karaman FK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kastamonuspor VS Karaman FK
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batman Petrolspor36258386:3383
2Muglaspor36219651:1972
3Elazigspor36216982:3769
4Adana 01361910755:3567
5Sanliurfaspor36198963:4365
6Ankaragucu36189952:4163
7Inegolspor361612867:4460
8Iskenderunspor361681250:4456
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi361315845:3554
10Ankaraspor3613131064:5452
1124Erzincanspor361561555:4951
12Kastamonuspor361191644:5642
13Karacabey Bld.361181746:5541
14Altinordu368111733:5935
15Erbaaspor361071940:6134
16Beykoz Anadolu36862237:6630
17Kepez Bld.36582333:7823
18Karaman FK36492330:8621
19Bucaspor 192836482438:7617